While many things remain uncertain, I want to share our current thinking on ÑÇÉ«Ó°¿â's budget following the Board of Governors' approval in July of a tuition and technology fee increase of 3.5 percent for the 2015–16 academic year.
With that information, we are working with a budget scenario that assumes level appropriations and enrollment near our planning projection.
After taking into account already-implemented adjustments to expense projections (prong 1 of our long-term plan) and already-planned use of one-time personnel savings, this scenario projects a $7.1-million budget shortfall for the 2015–16 fiscal year. Without the tuition increase, we would face a projected $9.6-million shortfall. Of course, the remaining unknowns (including the commonwealth budget, performance funding, and costs related to unresolved union agreements) may result in a somewhat larger or smaller shortfall. We plan to cover the projected shortfall with the use of one-time reserve funds.
Thanks to the great work of many people, ÑÇÉ«Ó°¿â is in a relatively strong position. While we will require a significant drawdown of our reserves, we will not be facing a reduction in work force or any significant reduction of academic programming in 2015–16.
That said, we need to take care with cash flow, at least until the commonwealth has a budget. We have no issues today, but we all need to exercise extra caution and strong financial discipline. If you can defer an expense, please do so.
There is no question that we are doing the right things in challenging times. Balancing our budget by drawing down reserves buys us another year, but we will not be able to do that again a year from now. I do not mean to be overly dramatic, but we are at a crossroads.
We have a shared vision, an excellent strategic plan, and we are working together toward common goals. I am confident that ÑÇÉ«Ó°¿â has the talent and creativity, the knowledge, and the commitment to turn the challenges we are facing into opportunities for future success.
Thanks to your good work, early indicators are that first- to second-year retention of students has increased, as have four- and six-year graduation rates. This shows that we are recruiting the right kind of student and that we are doing what we need to do to help them be successful. It also reflects the fact that we have not—and will not—compromise our admissions standards, measured by the high school GPA and SAT scores of our new students each year.
That's very good news, and I thank you for your continued commitment to ÑÇÉ«Ó°¿â.
Now we must accelerate progress on the good work that we are doing together.
The investments we have made to recruit students and support their success are working. That work needs to continue and to grow. We have streamlined the procedure for updating existing programs and establishing new ones, and we have several in progress. Let's make these new and improved programs happen—sooner rather than later. We are strategically deploying technology to enhance learning and to help streamline administrative processes. Help us find additional ways to be more effective with our time.
As I reflect on my time with you over the last three years, I know that you—talented and dedicated people—are our greatest strength. I am more certain than ever that together we can make the tough, responsible decisions that will shape ÑÇÉ«Ó°¿â's destiny and determine its future. If we stay the course and press forward in making positive change, I know that ÑÇÉ«Ó°¿â will be the model of a successful 21st-century university.
I will keep you informed as more information about the budget becomes known.
Thank you for your continued good work. Enjoy the rest of the summer.
Michael Driscoll
President